国外大学课件

nullLearning from Observations Learning from Observations Chapter 18 Section 1 – 3OutlineOutlineLearning agents Inductive learning Decision tree learningLearningLearningLearning is essential for unknown environments, i.e., when designer lacks omniscience Learning is useful as a system construction method, i.e., expose the agent to reality rather than trying to write it down Learning modifies the agent's decision mechanisms to improve performanceLearning agentsLearning agentsLearning elementLearning elementDesign of a learning element is affected by Which components of the performance element are to be learned What feedback is available to learn these components What representation is used for the components Type of feedback: Supervised learning: correct answers for each example Unsupervised learning: correct answers not given Reinforcement learning: occasional rewardsInductive learningInductive learningSimplest form: learn a function from examples f is the target function An example is a pair (x, f(x)) Problem: find a hypothesis h such that h ≈ f given a training set of examples (This is a highly simplified model of real learning: Ignores prior knowledge Assumes examples are given) Inductive learning methodInductive learning methodConstruct/adjust h to agree with f on training set (h is consistent if it agrees with f on all examples) E.g., curve fitting: Inductive learning methodInductive learning methodConstruct/adjust h to agree with f on training set (h is consistent if it agrees with f on all examples) E.g., curve fitting: Inductive learning methodInductive learning methodConstruct/adjust h to agree with f on training set (h is consistent if it agrees with f on all examples) E.g., curve fitting: Inductive learning methodInductive learning methodConstruct/adjust h to agree with f on training set (h is consistent if it agrees with f on all examples) E.g., curve fitting: Inductive learning methodInductive learning methodConstruct/adjust h to agree with f on training set (h is consistent if it agrees with f on all examples) E.g., curve fitting: Inductive learning methodInductive learning methodConstruct/adjust h to agree with f on training set (h is consistent if it agrees with f on all examples) E.g., curve fitting: Ockham’s razor: prefer the simplest hypothesis consistent with data Learning decision treesLearning decision treesProblem: decide whether to wait for a table at a restaurant, based on the following attributes: Alternate: is there an alternative restaurant nearby? Bar: is there a comfortable bar area to wait in? Fri/Sat: is today Friday or Saturday? Hungry: are we hungry? Patrons: number of people in the restaurant (None, Some, Full) Price: price range ($, $$, $$$) Raining: is it raining outside? Reservation: have we made a reservation? Type: kind of restaurant (French, Italian, Thai, Burger) WaitEstimate: estimated waiting time (0-10, 10-30, 30-60, >60)Attribute-based representationsAttribute-based representationsExamples described by attribute values (Boolean, discrete, continuous) E.g., situations where I will/won't wait for a table: Classification of examples is positive (T) or negative (F) Decision treesDecision treesOne possible representation for hypotheses E.g., here is the “true” tree for deciding whether to wait:ExpressivenessExpressivenessDecision trees can express any function of the input attributes. E.g., for Boolean functions, truth table row → path to leaf: Trivially, there is a consistent decision tree for any training set with one path to leaf for each example (unless f nondeterministic in x) but it probably won't generalize to new examples Prefer to find more compact decision treesHypothesis spacesHypothesis spacesHow many distinct decision trees with n Boolean attributes? = number of Boolean functions = number of distinct truth tables with 2n rows = 22n E.g., with 6 Boolean attributes, there are 18,446,744,073,709,551,616 treesHypothesis spacesHypothesis spacesHow many distinct decision trees with n Boolean attributes? = number of Boolean functions = number of distinct truth tables with 2n rows = 22n E.g., with 6 Boolean attributes, there are 18,446,744,073,709,551,616 trees How many purely conjunctive hypotheses (e.g., Hungry  Rain)? Each attribute can be in (positive), in (negative), or out  3n distinct conjunctive hypotheses More expressive hypothesis space increases chance that target function can be expressed increases number of hypotheses consistent with training set  may get worse predictionsDecision tree learningDecision tree learningAim: find a small tree consistent with the training examples Idea: (recursively) choose "most significant" attribute as root of (sub)tree Choosing an attributeChoosing an attributeIdea: a good attribute splits the examples into subsets that are (ideally) "all positive" or "all negative" Patrons? is a better choiceUsing information theoryUsing information theoryTo implement Choose-Attribute in the DTL algorithm Information Content (Entropy): I(P(v1), … , P(vn)) = Σi=1 -P(vi) log2 P(vi) For a training set containing p positive examples and n negative examples: Information gainInformation gainA chosen attribute A divides the training set E into subsets E1, … , Ev according to their values for A, where A has v distinct values. Information Gain (IG) or reduction in entropy from the attribute test: Choose the attribute with the largest IGInformation gainInformation gainFor the training set, p = n = 6, I(6/12, 6/12) = 1 bit Consider the attributes Patrons and Type (and others too): Patrons has the highest IG of all attributes and so is chosen by the DTL algorithm as the rootExample contd.Example contd.Decision tree learned from the 12 examples: Substantially simpler than “true” tree---a more complex hypothesis isn’t justified by small amount of dataPerformance measurementPerformance measurementHow do we know that h ≈ f ? Use theorems of computational/statistical learning theory Try h on a new test set of examples (use same distribution over example space as training set) Learning curve = % correct on test set as a function of training set size SummarySummaryLearning needed for unknown environments, lazy designers Learning agent = performance element + learning element For supervised learning, the aim is to find a simple hypothesis approximately consistent with training examples Decision tree learning using information gain Learning performance = prediction accuracy measured on test set